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UN chief optimistic of robust climate deal

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“Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon predicted Tuesday that a robust agreement to combat climate change will be reached in Copenhagen and implemented immediately.”

“From all corners of the globe we see unprecedented momentum for a deal,” the UN chief told reporters at UN headquarters. “I’m encouraged and I’m optimistic.”

Ban said for the Copenhagen conference to be a success, the agreement must include ambitious reductions in carbon emissions by developed countries as well as ambitious actions by poorer developing countries to curb emissions. Rich nations must also provide financial support and technological assistance to help developing countries limit their emissions and adapt to the effects of climate change, including floods and drought, he said.

“This agreement will have an immediate operational effect as soon as it is agreed,” Ban said.

The secretary-general’s statement indicated that the UN wants the provisions in the political deal that will hopefully be reached in Copenhagen to be implemented quickly, without waiting for a legally binding treaty to be negotiated next year.

The UN chief said an agreement is likely between developed and developing countries on 10 billion US dollars in “short-term, fast-track” financing to help poorer countries until 2012. Financial support beyond that will be discussed at Copenhagen and beyond, he said.

Ban said he will open the high-level segment of the Copenhagen conference on Dec. 15 and expects 105 world leaders to attend the final sessions on Dec. 17-18 to push for an agreement. He singled out President Barack Obama, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao and Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.

“Never have so many different nations of all size and economic status made so many firm pledges together,” he said. “We must seize this moment, and continue pushing for still higher ambition.”

“This will be crucially important for the future of humanity, and even for the planet Earth,” Ban said. (Photo: Scanpix/Reuters)

(News taken from the COP15 website)

Unity is fragile within the G-77

“Indonesia, former chair of the Group of 77, proposes to extend the time frame for a new global climate treaty until June 2010. But there is a conflict of interests within the group, The Jakarta Post reports.”

Division among the members makes it difficult for the Group of 77 (or G-77) to speak with one voice. This may hamper the negotiations at the ongoing UN conference in Copenhagen.

“Differences between (…) nations grouped under the G-77 are growing wider on almost all crucial issues, making it increasingly difficult for the climate talks to produce a consensus,” The Jakarta Post reports.

The newspaper refers to a proposal from Indonesia, former chair of the group, to extend the existing time table for the UN negotiations – the so-called Bali road map – so that a new global agreement would be reached by June 2010 at the latest instead of here in Copenhagen.

“This time frame is more realistic for a politically binding agreement, given the huge differences among G-77 member states,” Tri Tharyat, Indonesia’s negotiator, tells The Jakarta Post noting that other major G-77 members like China, India, Brazil and South Africa “have yet to respond to Indonesia’s proposal”.

The G-77, currently chaired by Sudan, was set up in 1964. Nowadays it is comprised of 130 countries, mostly within the developing world. A major division within the group is between poor countries and nations with rapidly evolving economies, but interests also vary between countries with and without oil production and countries with and without large forests, following The Jakarta Post analysis.

(News taken from the COP15 website)

Bangladesh tops the Global Climate Risk Index

“No developed country is on the top 20 list of countries worst affected by extreme weather events.”

600,000 people died as a direct consequence from more than 11,000 extreme weather events from 1990 to 2008, the 2010 Global Climate Risk Index shows.

The report from the climate and development organization Germanwatch was released on Tuesday at the UN climate change conference in Copenhagen, Denmark.

According to the index, Bangladesh is the country most severely affected with natural disasters claiming 8,241 lives and damaging property worth 2.18 billion US dollars a year on average.

Myanmar, Honduras, Vietnam, Nicaragua, Haiti, India, Dominican Republic, Philippines and China are other countries in the top ten of the 2010 index, based on data made available by the world’s largest reinsurer, Munich Re.

On the top 20 list of affected countries, there are only four developed countries: Italy, Portugal, Spain and the United States.

“It’s really hard to make a climate risk index. Only the number of people killed in natural calamities and losses of properties were counted to make this report… But millions of people, who survived extreme weather events and who are suffering across the globe, were not taken into the account,” says Dr Saleemul Haq, chief of the climate change cell of the International Institute of Environment and Development, according to The Daily Star.

He added that some African nations would have been on the list, if the surviving people had been counted.

(News taken from the COP15 website)

no doubt: the earth is warming

The British Met Office has published station temperature records for over 1,500 of the stations that make up the global land surface temperature record. The data shows that global-average land temperatures have risen over the last 150 years and that global warming has increased since the 1970s.

According to Reuters, the Met Office Hadley Centre has published the data to increase transparency and support evidence that the globe is warming.

The release is a response to the series of leaked e-mails from the University of East Anglia. The e-mails indicated that some climate experts were suppressing others’ data to enhance their own, Reuters reports.

The Met Office will continue to put as much of the station temperature record as possible into the public domain. When international approvals are in place, the remaining station records – around 5,000 in total – will be released.

(News taken from the COP15 website)

Bangladesh asks for 15 percent of any climate fund

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If sea levels rise by one meter, at least 20 million Bangladeshis, of a total population about 150 million, would be displaced. If the glaciers on the Himalayas melt due to global warming, the situation is even worse.

“The population of our one coastal district is bigger than the entire population of all island countries and in that consideration at least 15 percent of any climate fund should come to us,” State Minister of Environment and Forest Hasan Mahmud told a news conference, according to Reuters.

Hasan Mahmud emphasized that Bangladesh is the most vulnerable country in the world to climate change, Reuters reports.

“We are not begging any mercy from anyone. Rather we want justice as the worst victim of climate change,” said Qazi Kholiquzzaman Ahmad, a leading economist, who is also part of the Bangladesh climate negotiation team. (Photo: Scanpix/AFP)

(News taken from the COP15 website)

France wants financial tax in climate accord

Kouchner says a very small tax — 0.005 percent on financial transactions — would help developing countries fight poverty, promote education and health, and meet the costs of combatting climate change.

Such a tax on all financial movements would be “impossible to feel,” he says, explaining that it produces just 5 cents “on a movement of a thousand dollars, a thousand euros.”

Kouchner says that France has been working on the tax idea for a year and hosted a conference in Paris in October with 59 countries as well as financial and economic experts to put together a proposal.

He concedes there is some opposition, even in liberal countries, but he predicts “all the people of the world will accept this kind of contribution.”

“It will be done, believe me, it will be done. I don’t know when. But I know that we (have) to rebalance the responsibility and the sufferings in this world,” Kouchner says. “If it comes through this conference (in Copenhagen) it will be a big, big, big, big benefit.”

UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon expresses hope that the French proposal “will be discussed in Copenhagen as a way to generate financial support in addition to public fundings to be provided by the governments.”

The secretary-general says that with 105 world leaders expected on Dec. 18, there is momentum to reach a strong political agreement in Copenhagen.

“The more ambitious, the stronger agreement we have in Copenhagen, the easier, the quicker the process we will have to a legally binding treaty in 2010, as early as possible,” Ban says.

(news taken from the COP15 website)

British PM urges EU to lay the cards on the table.

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Although Swedish Minister for Environment Andreas Carlgren, who currently holds the rotating EU presidency, has said that the union would not reveal its emissions cuts until the very last moment, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown breaks the silence.

“It’s not enough to say, ‘I may do this, I might do that, possibly I’ll do this’. I want to create a situation in which the European Union is persuaded to go to 30 percent,” Gordon Brown tells The Guardian.

“We’ve got to make countries recognize that they have to be as ambitious as they say they want to be,” he added.

So far, the EU has pledged to cut emissions to 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020 and to deepen that cut to 30 percent if there is an “ambitious” deal in Copenhagen.

Before the start of the climate change conference in Copenhagen, the Environment Commissioner of the European Union, Stavros Dimas, urged Europe to set a good example by agreeing to cut emissions by 30 percent from 1990 levels. (Photo: Scanpix/AFP)

(News taken from the COP15 website)

“We Will Not Die Quietly.”

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The president of the Maldives (a low-lying nation faced with the very real threat of imminent extinction due to rising seas), Mohamed Nasheed delivered a powerful speech and called for a “survival pact.”

Read the whole speech:

Your Excellencies, distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen,

We gather in this hall today, as some of the most climate-vulnerable nations on Earth.

We are vulnerable because climate change threatens to hit us first; and hit us hardest.

And we are vulnerable because we have modest means with which to protect ourselves from the coming disaster.

We are a diverse group of countries.

But we share one common enemy.

For us, climate change is no distant or abstract threat; but a clear and present danger to our survival.

Climate change is melting the glaciers in Nepal.

It is causing flooding in Bangladesh.

It threatens to submerge the Maldives and Kiribati.

And in recent weeks, it has furthered drought in Tanzania, and typhoons in the Philippines.

We are the frontline states in the climate change battle.

Ladies and gentlemen,

Developing nations did not cause the climate crisis.

We are not responsible for the hundreds of years of carbon emissions, which are cooking the planet.

But the dangers climate change poses to our countries, means that this crisis can no longer be considered somebody else’s problem.

Carbon knows no boundaries.

Whether we like it or not, we are all in this fight together.

For all of us gathered here today, inaction is not an option.

So, what can we do about it?

To my mind, whatever course of action we take must be based on the latest advice of climate scientists. Not on the advice of politicians like us.

As Copenhagen looms, and negotiators frantically search for a solution, it is easy to think that climate change is like any other international issue.

It is easy to assume that it can be solved by a messy political compromise between powerful states.

But the fact of the matter is, we cannot negotiate with the laws of physics.

We cannot cut a deal with Mother Nature.

We have to learn to live within the fixed planetary boundaries that nature has set.

And it is increasingly clear that we are living way beyond those planetary means.

Scientists say that global carbon dioxide levels must be brought back down below 350 parts per million.

And we can see why.

We have already overshot the safe landing space.

In consequence the ice caps are melting.

The rainforests are threatened.

And the world’s coral reefs are in imminent danger.

Members of the G8 rich countries have pledged to halt temperature rises to two degrees Celsius.

Yet they have refused to commit to the carbon targets, which would deliver even this modest goal.

At two degrees we would lose the coral reefs.

At two degrees we would melt Greenland.

At two degrees my country would not survive.

As a president I cannot accept this.

As a person I cannot accept this.

I refuse to believe that it is too late, and that we cannot do any about it.

Copenhagen is our date with destiny.

Let us go there with a better plan.

Ladies and gentlemen,

When we look around the world today, there are few countries showing moral leadership on climate change.

There are plenty of politicians willing to point the finger of blame.

But there are few prepared to help solve a crisis that, left unchecked, will consume us all.

Few countries are willing to discuss the scale of emissions reductions required to save the planet.

And the offers of adaptation support for the most vulnerable nations are lamentable.

The sums of money on offer are so low, it is like arriving at a earthquake zone with a dustpan and brush.

We don’t want to appear ungrateful but the sums hardly address the scale of the challenge.

We are gathered here because we are the most vulnerable group of nations to climate change.

The problem is already on us, yet we have precious little with which to fight.

Some might prefer us to suffer in silence but today we have decided to speak.

And so I make this pledge today: we will not die quietly.

Ladies and gentlemen,

I believe in humanity.

I believe in human ingenuity.

I believe that with the right frame of mind, we can solve this crisis.

In the Maldives, we want to focus less on our plight; and more on our potential.

We want to do what is best for the planet.

And what is best for our economic self-interest.

This is why, earlier this year, we announced plans to become carbon neutral in ten years.

We will switch from oil to 100% renewable energy.

And we will offset aviation pollution, until a way can be found to decarbonise air transport too.

To my mind, countries that have the foresight to green their economies today, will be the winners of tomorrow.

They will be the winners of this century.

These pioneering countries will free themselves from the unpredictable price of foreign oil.

They will capitalize on the new, green economy of the future.

And they will enhance their moral standing, giving them greater political influence on the world stage.

Here in the Maldives we have relinquished our claim to high-carbon growth.

After all, it is not carbon we want, but development.

It is not coal we want, but electricity.

It is not oil we want, but transport.

Low-carbon technologies now exist, to deliver all the goods and services we need.

Let us make the goal of using them.

Ladies and gentlemen,

A group of vulnerable, developing countries committed to carbon neutral development would send a loud message to the outside world.

If vulnerable, developing countries make a commitment to carbon neutrality, those opposed to change have nowhere left to hide.

If those with the least start doing the most, what excuse can the rich have for continuing inaction?

We know this is not an easy step to take, and that there might be dangers along the way.

We want to shine a light, not loudly demand that others go first into the dark.

So today, we want to share with you our carbon neutral strategy.

And we want to ask you to consider carbon neutrality yourselves.

I think a bloc of carbon-neutral, developing nations could change the outcome of Copenhagen.

At the moment every country arrives at the negotiations seeking to keep their own emissions as high as possible.

They never make commitments, unless someone else does first.

This is the logic of the madhouse, a recipe for collective suicide.

We don’t want a global suicide pact.

And we will not sign a global suicide pact, in Copenhagen or anywhere.

So today, I invite some of the most vulnerable nations in the world, to join a global survival pact instead.

We are all in this as one.

We stand or fall together.

I hope you will join me in deciding to stand.

Join this bold call for climate action by signing the survival pact! The 350.org team members will deliver your names and messages in person to President Nasheed at the Copenhagen Climate Talks.

Love Letters to the Future..

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Imagine that you could write a love letter to the future – what would it say?

Future generations will be living with the consequences of whatever action we take – or do not take – on climate change, would you send them messages of hope and inspiration – or regret? Your message is important, because love letters to the future are possible!

A time capsule has been built that will be permanently installed in Copenhagen – the site of the upcoming UN Climate Summit this December. The capsule will store love letters from this generation to the future – either as text, images or video.

This is a once in a century opportunity and anyone can contribute!

LoveLettersToTheFuture.com

Send your love letter to the future now. We are at a tipping point in the global fight against climate change. This is our chance to tell the world – and the future – just what is at stake.

Brazil pledges deep emission cuts in 'political gesture' to rich nations

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(The Guardian) – The Brazilian government is preparing to pledge a big curb in its greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 as a “political gesture” aimed at pressing rich nations into agreeing to large cuts in carbon.

The country’s chief of staff, Dilma Rousseff, said Brazil would take proposals for voluntary reductions of 38-42% by 2020 to the Copenhagen climate change summit next month. The reductions are from projected 2020 emissions levels if no action was taken.

“What Brazil is doing is a political gesture,” said Rouseff, following a climate change meeting in Sao Paulo yesterday. “We still believe that the responsibility belongs to the developed countries.” She said the reductions were voluntary, and not binding “targets”, which she said should only be set for developed countries with higher emissions.

Rouseff’s intervention strikes at the core of the impasse in the global warming talks. Scientists say rich nations with long polluting histories, like the US, need to cut emissions by 25-40% by 2020 on 1990 levels, but the offers on the negotiating table fall short of this. Poorer developing nations need, say experts, to cut their emissions by 15-30% by 2020 compared to business-as-usual. By stepping up to its side of the deal, Brazil is making an open challenge to the US, where Senate legislation on climate change is near deadlocked.

Half of Brazil’s proposed cuts will come from a reduction in deforestation, while the remaining 20% relates to industry and farming.

“We are already an example to the world. But the fact that we are going to announce a significant objective does not mean we do not know that the responsible ones are the developed countries,” Rousseff said.

Brazil’s official position for the Copenhagen talks is expected to be announced before this weekend. Brazilian negotiators are already expected to announce plans to cut deforestation by 80% by 2020.

Sergio Leitao, the director of public policies for Greenpeace Brasil, said that the proposed numbers “were good” but that the Brazilian government needed to take on “concrete targets” not voluntary reductions: “If it doesn’t, nobody will do anything.”

The recent emergence of rainforest defender, Marina Silva, as a potential presidential candidate for next year’s elections, has helped propel the environment back onto the political agenda in Brazil.

Rousseff, a Workers’ party minister, who is president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s favoured presidential candidate, is set to travel to Copenhagen next month to lead the Brazilian climate change delegation.

Source: Guardian.co.uk